Randy_
Member
Originally posted by jeffj13.....I read where the US uses about 140 billion gallons of gasoline each year. That amounts to 46 billion gallons a quarter. If my math is correct that means that oil companies profit is 8 cents per gallon......
You can make math prove just about anything you desire so who knows how much profit the oil companies are really making? There was a oil guy on a TV show the other night and he offered that the oil company profit on gasoline is about 4¢ per gallon.
The issue of gasoline prices is a very complicated one that cannot just be simplistically be laid off on greedy oil companies. There are short term issues that affect the price of oil daily, weekly, monthly and even over a span of a year or two. We have a certain amount of control over these short term issues and can exert some influence on the price of gas. Sadly, there is a long term issue that we have essentially no control over and is the ultimate determinant of petroleum prices. The supply of peterolium is essentially fixed and will decrease in the future and, at the same time, the demand for petroleum is increasing significantly. China, India and, to a lesser extent, Russia are becoming more industrialized and their demand for oil, along with our own, is growing much faster than it can be supplied so more people are trying to share a fixed size or soon to be shrinking pie.
In 1956 a professor at Columbia University, M. King Hubert, who had previously been a geologist for Shell Oil Co, came up with the idea of global peak oil production and now known as the Hubbert Peak Theory. He predicted that max. production of oil in the US would occur between 1965 and 1970. Most people in the field thought his predictions were wildly incorrect; but he turned out to be correct within half a decade. Subsequent work using his theory predicted that max. oil production for the entire world would peak in the 1990's. That prediction turned out to be a little pessimistic and many experts think that we have essentially reached that point right now.
The modern oil industry started in 1859 when oil was discovered in in a pasture in Titusville, Pennsylvania. Since that day in August, the world has not been the same and the demand for and use of petroleum has gone crazy. And this is the scary point. In 107 years ± a little, we voracious humans (and primarily we Americans) have consumed about half of all of the oil that has ever existed on the planet. In another 147 years (and probably significantly less) there will be no petroleum left!!! Think about that, folks. Some of the grandchildren of people on this board will probably have to live in a worlds where there is absolutely "NO" petroleum.
Put your imagination to work for a few minutes and think about what your life would be like if you had no petroleum, no products made with petroleum and no products who's manufacture depended upon petroleum. And if your imagination is not geed, simply think what it would be like to live in 1859, when [petroleum was not available. In the next couple of generations, the human population is going to be subject to the most severe cultural shock that it has perhaps ever faced!!!
If you are interested in looking at this transition to an existence without petroleum in more detail, well-known author James H. Kunstler wrote short book in 2005 that looks into what life might be like in America without any oil. The book is called THE LONG EMERGENCY.</u> I guarantee that it will make you stop and think. And if you were looking at a landscape that you, personally, going to be exposed to, it would give you nightmares!!!